For a change the ‘UFC On Fuel TV 1’ event takes place on Wednesday night and we’ve got our full predictions for the fight card for you below.
Jake Ellenberger vs. Diego Sanchez
I think this is a bad match-up for Sanchez. Ellenberger is bigger, stronger, hits harder and has a good wrestling base. Sanchez will need to keep the tempo high, and he’s capable of doing that with scrappy exchanges on the feet and being good in the scrambles, but I don’t think it’ll be enough. Ellenberger did well against the more dynamic Carlos Condit earlier in his UFC career and while he might find it challenges to put Sanchez away I see him winning a clear decision here.
Jake Ellenberger to win by decision.
Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman
This is an interesting one. In the striking Herman is quite unpredictable and is quicker than Struve which could be to his advantage as the Dutchman can be caught unawares at times, although the height and reach difference could provide ‘Peewee’ with some problems of his own. Herman likes to go to ground and that could prove to be a mistake as Struve’s excellent from his back. Struve’s also reported to have bulked up to 265lbs ahead of this fight which I think is better for frame, so I’m opting for ‘The Skyscraper’ here.
Stefan Struve to win by submission in Rd2.
Aaron Simpson vs. Ronny Markes
Markes has a good mix of heavy hands and submission going for him, but he’s cutting down to middleweight for the first time tomorrow night and is facing his toughest test to date in Aaron Simpson who can negate much of his skills by using his wrestling to put him on his back and wear him down. at the age of 23 Markes could still be a presence in the UFC in the future, but I think he loses this one.
Aaron Simpson to win by decision.
Stipe Miocic vs. Philip De Fries
Two European prospects here and while neither shone particularly brightly in their UFC debuts I do think Miocic in particularly did show potential. He’s quick for a heavyweight, has decent takedowns and ground and pound which should match his opponent’s, plus a significant advantage in the stand-up game versus De Fries and I see him using that to help him produce a decision win here.
Stipe Miocic to win by decision.
T.J. Dillashaw vs. Walel Watson
Dillashaw is reasonably well rounded, though certainly with a strong emphasis on his ground work where his wrestling and overall work rate serve him well. John Dodson’s unpredictable stand-up style caught him out in the TUF finale, but I think he’ll be much more in his element here where his main worry will be dealing with Watson’s submission attempts. He’ll be well trained at the Alpha Male camp to deal with that and I think he’ll be able to ride out a wrestling based decision.
TJ Dillashaw to win by decision.
Ivan Menjivar vs. John Albert
Jonathan Brookins vs. Vagner Rocha
Buddy Roberts vs. Sean Loeffler
Anton Kuivanen vs. Justin Salas
Bernardo Magalhaes vs. Tim Means