UFC On FX 4: Predictions

‘UFC On FX 4’, The first of two events from the promotion this weekend, takes place tomorrow night and we’ve got our predictions for all the fights for you below.

Main Card:

Gray Maynard vs. Clay Guida

Guida brings the greater work-rate and energy levels to this fight and could be a factor in the later rounds, but that aside I believe Maynard has the edge. His boxing has developed considerably over the years, he’s got more power than Guida and he’s just an all-round better wrestler which means I don’t see him having to worry too much about getting taken down, but he could take him to the mat and control him if required. I see Maynard getting the better of him in the striking exchanges over the course of the fight, but not being able to secure a finish against his durable opponent inside the distance.

Gray Maynard to win by decision.

Spencer Fisher vs. Sam Stout

We’ve seen these two fight twice before which could help inform how this fight is going to go, but honestly, the last time they competed was five years ago and Fisher’s deteriorated significantly since then as age catches up with him. Therefore I think this is very much Stout’s fight to win this time around and unlike their previous encounters I’m tipping him to finish the battle-weary veteran before the final bell.

Sam Stout to win by TKO in Rd3.

Brian Ebersole vs. T.J. Waldburger

There’s a good chance this one is going to be fought on the mat with Ebersole being at his best in the wrestling department, while Waldburger’s key to victory is generally his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Earlier in his career Ebersole was susceptible to getting caught in submissions, but he’s matured since then and has vast amounts of experience so I think he’ll be able to steer clear on this occasion on the mat while feeding Waldburger a steady diet of ground and pound. Waldburger’s chin isn’t the best and if he can keep a good work-rate going I think it’s a possibility Ebersole gets the finish via strikes from that position.

Brian Ebersole to win by TKO in Rd2.

Ross Pearson vs. Cub Swanson

This should be a fun fight between two featherweights who’ll probably be looking to settle this bout on the feet. Pearson’s a durable fighter with good boxing and perhaps a little more power, but Swanson has a more varied offense of kicks and punches, is faster and can fight at a high tempo from start to finish. He’s also better if the fight does go to ground at any stage, so while I think this one will be very close and could go either way, I’m leaning a little more towards the former WEC fighter, though his inconsistency in the cage is a concern.

Cub Swanson to win by decision.


Hatsu Hioki vs. Ricardo Lamas
Ramsey Nijem vs. C.J. Keith
Brock Jardine vs. Rick Story
Joey Gambino vs. Steven Siler
Matt Brown vs. Luis Ramos
Chris Camozzi vs. Nick Catone
Dan Miller vs. Ricardo Funch
Dustin Pague vs. Ken Stone


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