See below for our predictions for tomorrow night’s UFC On Versus 3 event from Kentucky which is headlined by Diego Sanchez Vs Martin Kampmann.
Diego Sanchez vs. Martin Kampmann
UFC on Versus 3’s main event features what could well be an entertaining striker vs grappler match-up between two men eager to work their way into the 170lb title picture.
Of the two Kampmann is the better, more technically sound striker with a solid muay thai base that’ll allow him to piece together the more fluid, versatile offense on the night. Sanchez’ striking is more predictable, relying more on aggression and an unbending will to get the upper-hand.
Despite being primarily a striker, Kampmann does display good ground-skills as well. Sanchez has the edge here though. Again, his tenacity is a key factor, but he backs it up with genuine technique and effective ground and pound.
Prediction: Sanchez will be in trouble here if he stands and trades for too long with the Dane, but with Greg Jackson in his corner I expect him to have a solid grappling gameplan in place. I believe his natural aggression and unrelenting work-rate will not suit Kampmann and he’ll struggle to fire off his combinations before being dumped on his back and roughed up. Rinse and repeat and Sanchez should emerge with his hand raised after 15 minutes.
Diego Sanchez to win by decision
Mark Munoz vs. C.B. Dollaway
With the middleweight division not exactly overflowing with fresh contenders for current champion Anderson Silva, both Munoz and Dollaway will be hoping that a win tomorrow night can propel them further up the ladder.
Neither of the two is a stand-out in the striking department. Munoz has raw potential thanks to the power in his hands, but he’s very much a work-in-progress and still struggles to close the distance effectively and throw punches in bunches. Dollaway’s own striking is functional, but he lacks Munoz power and that could lead him to come off second-best in the exchanges.
Both men are at their best on the mat. Munoz is a high-level wrestler, though his MMA takedowns aren’t quite as fluid as perhaps he’d like. He’s strong in the clinch though, and once he’s on top though he’s got an excellent base and sports some of the most devastating ground and pound in the sport. Dollaway is a solid grappler too, possessing the better submissions of the two men, but he’s not as strong a wrestler as his opponent.
Munoz got the better of a similar wrestler, Aaron Simpson, last time out, and I don’t feel that Dollaway poses more of a challenge for Munoz than him. I expect Munoz to be the bigger, stronger fighter and that’ll allow him to get the better of his opponent on both the mat and on the feet. I like him to finish this one of via ground and pound.
Mark Munoz to win by TKO in Rd2.
Alessio Sakara vs. Chris Weidman
Weidman will be making his UFC debut at UFC On Versus 3, and on short notice coupled with a record of just 4-0 he’s being thrown straight in at the deep-end against a tough veteran in Sakara.
There is some method to the UFC’s madness though. Weidman is widely regarded to be a top middleweight prospect, with solid wrestling credentials in his past and an impressive showing in his debut at the ADCC Submission Wrestling Championships in 2009. Therefore if Weidman gets this fight to the mat, he could have a real chance.
Sakara on the other hand will be looking to keep this fight standing where the former boxer should hold a distinct advantage and has the punching power to end the bout quickly if given the opportunity. He won’t be easy to take down either, and he does have a solid BJJ game of his own, but his wrestling is a weak spot.
This is a tough call given Weidman’s lack of experience. His grappling certainly could cause Sakara problems, but this is a big step-up early in his career, and at short notice too. Given the circumstances I slightly favor the veteran here to sprawl and brawl to a TKO win.
Alessio Sakara by TKO in Rd2
Brian Bowles vs. Damacio Page
This is a slightly curious match-up given that Bowles already holds a quick submission win over Page dating back to 2008, but it should still be a fun fight to watch.
Bowles is a well-rounded fighter owning an enviable mix of both knockout power on his feet, fight-ending submissions on the mat, and solid wrestling to tie it all together. Injuries have kept former champion Bowles out of action for the past year, and he’ll be hoping he doesn’t suffer to badly from ring rust as Page is the kind of competitor who could expose those issues as the fight progresses.
Page is a scrappy competitor who can also pose problems wherever the fight goes, with solid striking and submissions, but he’s not as skilled as Bowles and has a glaring weakness in his submission defense which has already caught up with him on four separate occasions in his career to date.
This looks like a good fight for Bowles to get back on track after his first defeat followed by a lengthy lay-off. He’s a better all-round fighter than Page, and I believe he should be able to pull off another submission victory here.
Brian Bowles by submission in Rd2
Joe Stevenson vs. Danny Castillo
Cyrille Diabate vs. Steve Cantwell
Shane Roller vs. Thiago Tavares
Reuben Duran vs. Takeya Mizugaki
Rob Kimmons Vs Dongi Yang
Dave Branch vs. Rousimar Palhares
Todd Brown vs. Igor Pokrajac