UFC Fight Night 65 takes place in Australia this weekend and we’ve got our predictions for all the fights below.
Mark Hunt vs. Stipe Miocic
Miocic holds a number of the advantages in this fight, being the more well rounded off the two with good wrestling complimenting his striking, while he’s also younger, faster, has significantly better cardio and is tough to finish.
Hunt holds the raw power advantage of course and for many years he possessed one of the absolute best chins in the sport, though two defeats due to strikes in the past couple of years suggest that the cracks are now showing which is only to be expected given that he’s still competing at the highest level at 41 years of age.
Hunt can still end any fight at a moments notice, but it’s hard to pick against Miocic here as he carefully mixes up his boxing, wrestling and clinch work over the course of five rounds to emerge victorious.
Stipe Miocic to win by Decision.
Brad Tavares vs. Robert Whittaker
Tavares ‘jack of all trades, master of none’ approach has served him pretty well in the UFC’s middleweight division. He’s not the man for spectacular highlight-reel finishes and crowd-pleasing antics in the Octagon, but more often than not he gets the job done with his solid skill-set and blue-collar work ethic.
TUF Smashes winner Whittaker has less strings to his bow – being more of a striker than anything else, and technically is a pretty reasonable one at that, but I don’t get the sense that the former welterweight is going to make a sustained run up the middleweight ladder and I like Tavares to steadily get the better of him with a higher work rate and more diverse gameplan.
Brad Tavares to win by Decision.
Sean O’Connell vs. Anthony Perosh
The 42 year-old Perosh deserves a lot of credit for what he’s achieved in the twilight of his career, initially coming in as a late replacement on two days notice for the UFC’s first ever show down under, yet managing to stick around and compile a creditable 5-3 run in the Octagon.
Perosh is a crafty veteran who excels with submission on the mat, while O’Connell is an aggressive, durable slugger. If the latter is able to keep this fighting he should stand a good chance as Perosh’s striking is fairly limited and his chin is questionable, but O’Connell has little to offer if they go to ground.
So, either man has a solid route to victory, but I’m taking the wily veteran Perosh to find a way to get O’Connell on his back and work in a submission finish.
Anthony Perosh to win by submission in Rd1.
Jake Matthews vs. James Vick
Matthews looks like a promising prospect at the tender age of 20 and this will be a solid test for him against former TUF fighter Vick who’s also undefeated in his pro career so far.
Vick is primarily a striker and being 6ft 3″ tall he’ll be enjoying a big reach advantage here against Matthews who’s six inches shorter and is generally more assured on his feet than his opponent.
However, Matthews is constantly improving and already has very good wrestling. On the mat he’ll threaten with dangerous ground and pound together with a real submission threat and I think his more energetic approach and long spells of top control will pay dividends on the judges scorecards.
Jake Matthews to win by decision.
Kyle Noke vs. Jonavin Webb
Dylan Andrews vs. Bradley Scott
Alex Chambers vs. Kailin Curran
Vik Grujic vs. Brendan O’Reilly
Hatsu Hioki vs. Daniel Hooker
Sam Alvey vs. Daniel Kelly
Lisa Ellis vs. Bec Rawlings