UFC On FOX 11 takes place this Saturday night in Florida and we’ve got our predictions for the fights below.
Fabricio Werdum vs. Travis Browne
Interesting fight here to start off a main card with a number of bouts that could potentially swing either way.
Browne’s recent record flatters to decieve a little in my opinion, particularly the win over Overeem where he was getting beaten up prior to the sudden KO. That being said, I do think he holds a striking advantage in this fight, especially when it comes to power, though Werdum’s stand-up has improved over time.
Werdum on the other hand is the clear favorite if this fight hits the mat. The problem is getting it there in the first place as he’s not got the best takedowns and Browne will punish him if he stays in on an attempt too long.
With that in mind I’m going with Browne to keep this one upright and hurt Werdum on the feet.
Travis Browne to win by TKO in Rd2.
Miesha Tate vs. Liz Carmouche
Another head scratcher here as these are two fairly well matched female fighters.
Carmouche has the strength and power advantage, but Tate is more technical, has better wrestling and will pose a submission threat on the mat too.
There’s certainly ways for Carmouche to win here, either hurting Tate with hard punches or outmuscling her in the grappling, but I favor Tate’s mix of toughness and technique to win out here, exploiting the holes in Carmouche’s grappling defense to produce a hard fought submission victory.
Miesha Tate to win by submission in Rd3.
Edson Barboza vs. Donald Cerrone
This looks a fun fight on paper, so hopefully it plays out that way in reality.
Striking wise, I’d have to give the edge to Barboza here. That’s not to say Cerrone isn’t good on the feet – he certainly is and mixes things up well with a full arsenal of muay thai strikes, but so does Barboza and he’s the more dangerous of the two, with his kicks in particular being devastating.
Cerrone is definitely the better grappler though and a proven finisher with submissions, so that’s his route to victory in this fight, but the question is – will he take it?
Despite being the more well-rounded fighter Cerrone is prone to be sucked into a stand-up war, and I think this is one that he’ll end up coming off second best in.
Edson Barboza to win by TKO in Rd2.
Brad Tavares vs. Yoel Romero
Another tough fight to call. Romero is the better all-round athlete in this one, with an imposing physique, decorated wrestling background and powerful striking, making him a daunting prospect for anyone.
Tavares doesn’t have as much natural talent, but he is well rounded and is a hard worker which has lead him to an impressive 7-1 record in the UFC so far.
There are holes in Romero’s game – his striking defense isn’t the best and he can be hurt, and surprisingly is takedown defense isn’t as bullet-proof as you’d expect.
Some of this can be explained by what appears to be over-confidence on his part and Tavares could make him pay for it. Tavares generally has to go the full 15 minutes to get the win though, and I think Romero will find a way to win before then. As with all these main card picks on this particularly well matched line-up though, it won’t be a huge surprise if it goes the other way.
Yoel Romero to win by TKO in Rd2.
Prelims: (Predicted winners in bold)
Rafael dos Anjos vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov
Thiago Alves vs. Seth Baczynski
Pat Healy vs. Jorge Masvidal
Estevan Payan vs. Alex White
Caio Magalhaes vs. Luke Zachrich
Jordan Mein vs. Hernani Perpetuo
Dustin Ortiz vs. Ray Borg
Mirsad Bektic vs. Chas Skelly
Derrick Lewis vs. Jack May