UFC Fight Night 292 takes place tomorrow night in Las Vegas and we’ve got our predictions for all the fights below.

Main Card

Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan

Renato Moicano got back to winning ways with a submission victory over Chris Duncan in April and now headlines another Fight Night card against the surging Tom Nolan, who comes in on a five-fight winning streak.

The 37-year-old Moicano went on a four-fight winning streak between 2022 and 2024 that resulted in a spike in his popularity, before being handed an ultra-short-notice lightweight title shot against Islam Makhachev in early 2025 that he lost by submission. That was followed by a decision loss to Beneil Dariush, but he’s now got back on track. A well-rounded veteran, Moicano combines solid striking with strong grappling. His best work typically comes when he can secure takedowns and transition to the back, where he has very good control and has repeatedly been able to finish fights via rear-naked choke. While not known for knockout power, he remains a technically sound striker too with a reliable jab and respectable fundamentals. There are still some lingering durability concerns due to some bad losses earlier in his UFC run, while elite grapplers have still found success against him at times too.

The 26-year-old Nolan has bounced back impressively since suffering a 63-second TKO loss in his UFC debut after earning his contract on the Contender Series. The Australian has since rattled off five straight wins, capped by the biggest victory of his career so far when he outpointed Fares Ziam back in June. Standing 6ft 2in, Nolan is unusually tall for the lightweight division and makes effective use of his length with a varied kickboxing attack. He fires a wide range of kicks from distance and will look to mix in knees and elbows at closer range. Nolan is still hittable though and doesn’t offer much offensively in the wrestling department, but while he only has one submission win he has decent grappling.

Nolan holds the edge in power and will look to test Moicano on the feet, but I think the Brazilian veteran’s vast experience and grappling advantage could prove decisive in the end to secure a second-round submission victory.

Pick: Renato Moicano wins by submission in Rd2.

Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith

Randy Brown has lost three of his last four fights, while the undefeated Jacobe Smith steps in on just over a week’s notice to replace Carlos Leal.

Brown’s recent record doesn’t tell the full story of his UFC career, as though he’s had his fair share of defeats over the years, the36-year-old had actually won seven of his previous eight bouts before his current slump in form. A tall and rangy welterweight, Brown will make use of a 5″ height and 6″ reach edge this weekend. He does good work at range with his solid punching power and a varied kicking attack to keep opponents on the outside. His knees can also be dangerous in close though, and he’s also capable of mixing in takedowns and providing a submission threat when opportunities arise. However, Brown has shown vulnerabilities throughout his UFC run, suffering multiple defeats by both strikes and submission.

The 30-year-old Smith has quickly established himself as one of the division’s most promising prospects with an unblemished 13-0 record and 11 finishes to date, including four 1st round finishes in the UFC. An explosive athlete with an elite wrestling pedigree, Smith excels at overwhelming opponents with relentless takedowns, suffocating top control and destructive ground-and-pound. He’s also aggressive on the feet and carries big power, but he still has ground to make up technically and can also leave defensive openings, while questions remain about how his energy levels will hold up if opponents are able to take him into deeper waters.

Taking on an experienced veteran on short notice isn’t ideal, but Smith’s dominant wrestling will be a big problem for Brown, and I think that’ll lead to a second-round TKO stoppage via ground-and-pound.

Pick: Jacobe Smith wins by TKO in Rd2.

Ode’ Osbourne vs. Cody Durden

Ode Osbourne finds himself under pressure after winning just once in his last six UFC appearances, but Cody Durden is in the same boat, having lost five of his last six fights.

The 34-year-old Osbourne has only managed to compile a modest 5-7 (+1nc) record in the Octagon so far. A former featherweight, he’s now a sizeable flyweight and will enjoy a significant 6-inch reach advantage despite being the same height as Durden. Osbourne is at his best using that wingspan to strike from range, combined with good speed and respectable power, but his output is generally on the low side. He can also mix in wrestling though and has shown a willingness to hunt for submissions and ground-and-pound opportunities. The downside is that his defensive grappling has been a weak point, resulting in four submission losses in the UFC, while defensive lapses on the feet have also contributed to a pair of first-round knockout defeats.

The 35-year-old Durden enjoyed a solid start to his UFC run, going 5-2 (+1nc), but the past few years have gone very poorly. The 35-year-old has now lost seven of his last nine fights, including the first two losses via strikes of his career and several submission defeats too. Durden sets out his stall as a hard-working all-rounder who relies on pressure, cardio and a blend of boxing and wrestling. While his record shows a respectable number of finishes, they have mostly dried up since he started competing in the Octagon six years ago, so tends to need to win on the scorecards to get his hand raised these days.

Osbourne should be the more dangerous striker early on, with his reach, speed and power, but if Durden can survive the opening stages, I think his wrestling and cardio advantage could be enough to get him a much-needed win on the scoreards.

Pick: Cody Durden wins by decision.

Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos

Yana Santos and Luana Santos both come into this fight riding three-fight winning streaks.

At 36 years old, Yana Santos (formerly Kunitskaya) is arguably enjoying her best run of form in the UFC, including recent wins over Miesha Tate and Macy Chiasson. She works at a solid pace and can utilise her taekwondo-based striking from range, though some of her best work comes courtesy of her strong clinch game to help grind down opponents. However, her takedown defence remains a concern, and although she’s comfortable fighting off her back, she isn’t a notable submission threat. In fact, Yana has never finished a fight in the UFC, but she has been TKO’d three times.

The 26-year-old Luana Santos has quietly put together a 6-1 UFC record while competing on the prelims and now finally gets a step up to a main card spot. A judo specialist, Luana’s game is built around securing takedowns and controlling fights on the mat rather than winning striking exchanges. From top position she applies heavy pressure, maintains strong control and actively hunts for submissions, with five of her career wins coming by tap-out. She’s also difficult to take down herself and has never been finished.

This match-up appears to favour Luana stylistically as Yana’s reliance on the clinch. vulnerability to takedowns and willingness to work off her back plays directly into the younger fighter’s strengths. As such I think Luana gets the takedowns she needs to grind out a decision victory.

Pick: Luana Santos wins by decision.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani has made a good start in the Octagon with back-to-back victories and now faces the unbeaten Farman Hasanov, who is coming off a unanimous decision win in his UFC debut.

Intriguingly, Lebosnoyani’s fighting roots go right back to the formation of the UFC as his father was Royce Gracie’s striking coach during the early days of the promotion. To be fair, Lebosnoyani wasn’t born until a few years later, but he was still raised in that environment among legends and began competing in Brazilian jiu-jitsu by the time he was 5-years-old. He continued to build a strong grappling foundation before eventually transitioning to MMA and competing in the LFA promotion until earning a UFC contract with a 68-second head-kick knockout on the Contender Series. Grappling remains the cornerstone of the 27-year-old’s game, accounting for five of his 11 career victories, but he’s a well-rounded mixed martial artist who can strike effectively at range, work comfortably in the clinch and has solid takedown defence. The only blemishes on his record are two TKO losses, though neither came in recent years.

Hasanov also arrived after a stint in the LFA promotion, but despite being 31-years-old he’s actually only 5-0 in his career so far. A powerful wrestler, he’s at his best when repeatedly forcing opponents to the mat and controlling them from top position. He applies heavy pressure and can inflict damage with ground-and-pound, but he tends to lack a submission threat. On the feet, Hasanov’s striking is merely functional and so he’ll look to consistently apply pressure to set up takedown opportunities.

Lebosnoyani is the more experienced and well-rounded fighter here. He certainly holds the edge in striking and also has the kind of grappling pedigree that presents danger for Hasanov every time he goes for a takedown. As such I think Lebosnoyani eventually finds a way to lock in a fight-ending submission.

Pick: Jean Paul Lebosnoyani wins by submission in Rd3.

Prelims (Predicted winners in bold)

Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope
Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Theodor Berggren
Julian Erosa vs. Lee Jeong-yeong
Nick Klein vs. Joseph Kropschot
Talita Alencar vs. Piera Rodriguez
Zachary Reese vs. Mickey Gall
Lucia Szabová vs. Tainara Lisboa